Housing Market Conditions Improve on the South Coast

Vancouver, BC – May 15, 2013. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that a total of 6,904 residential sales were recorded by the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in BC during April, up 1.9 per cent from March on a seasonally adjusted basis, but down 2.2 per cent compared to April 2012. Total sales dollar volume declined 3 per cent to $3.65 billion. The average MLS® residential price in the province was $528,507, down 0.8 per cent from a year ago.

2013-04chart“BC home sales trended higher again in April, with seasonally adjusted unit sales now 8 per cent higher since the beginning of the year,” said Cameron Muir, BCREA Chief Economist. “Market conditions were at or near balanced conditions in Victoria, Vancouver, the Fraser Valley and the North last month, leading to a firming up of home prices.” The MLS® Home Price Index edged up 0.7 per cent over the past month in the Lower Mainland, and 1.5 per cent over the past three months.

Year-to-date, BC residential sales dollar volume was down 16.6 per cent to $10.8 billion, compared to the same period last year. Residential unit sales dipped 13.9 per cent to 20,476 units, while the average MLS® residential price was down 3.1 per cent at $529,785.

April 2013 Cowichan Valley Sales Stats

We are committed to excellence in providing personalized service and honest up front representation for all purchasers and sellers. In an effort to keep our clients informed on current and potential future market trends we regularly post the latest statistics and news that can effect the Cowichan Valley and Vancouver Island real estate market.

April Cowichan Valley Real Estate Stats
April Cowichan Valley Real Estate Stats
April Cowichan Valley Real Estate Stats
April Cowichan Valley Real Estate Stats
April Cowichan Valley Real Estate Stats
April Cowichan Valley Real Estate Stats

Home Sales Forecast

OTTAWA – August 16, 2011 – The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) has revised its forecast for home sales activity via the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®)  Systems of Canadian real estate Boards and Associations for 2011 and 2012.

Overall, sales activity and prices remained stronger than expected in the second quarter. Sales momentum was also better than expected heading into the third quarter. As a result, the 2011 national forecasts for sales activity and average price have been raised slightly.real estate sales forecast

National sales activity is forecast to reach 450,800 units in 2011, up less than one per cent from levels in 2010. CREA had previously forecast a decline of about one per cent for activity in 2011. Erosion in affordability due to higher prices has prompted a small downward revision to the outlook for sales in 2012.

British Columbia’s 2011 sales forecast has been revised slightly higher, in recognition that home sales there appear to have bottomed out sooner than previously anticipated. Stronger than expected activity in Ontario offset slightly softer than anticipated demand in Quebec, Manitoba, and Newfoundland in the second quarter of 2011. Accordingly, the Ontario sales forecast for 2011 has been raised, while the outlook for activity in Quebec, Manitoba, and Newfoundland has been revised lower.

National sales activity in 2012 is forecast to ease seven tenths of a percentage point to 447,700 units, which is roughly on par with its ten-year average.

“While there had been some talk of potential interest rate increases, that hasn’t happened,” said Gary Morse, CREA President. “In fact, mortgage interest rates have actually come down, and are now expected to remain low for the remainder of this year and into 2012. It’s a great opportunity to purchase a property with financing at very favourable rates.”

The national average home price is forecast to rise 7.2 per cent in 2011 to $363,500. This is an increase from the previous forecast, reflecting continued strong price growth in Vancouver in the second quarter of 2011 and acceleration in prices elsewhere, particularly Toronto. These two markets exert an outsized influence on the national average due to their relatively high level of activity and average price.

The national average home price is expected to moderate in the second half of 2011, returning to normal following a heavily skewed start to the year. In the first half of 2011, the national average home price was pushed upward by a surge in multi-million dollar sales in selected areas of Greater Vancouver and a higher than normal share of overall sales in more expensive markets.

“Some of the expected moderation in the national average price is seasonal, with average price peaking in many local markets during the second quarter of any year,” said Gregory Klump, CREA’s Chief Economist. “Elevated shares of provincial and national sales activity in Vancouver and Toronto are also expected to return to more normal levels, contributing to an anticipated moderation in average price in British Columbia, Ontario, and nationally.”

“Additional new listings are anticipated to result in a more balanced resale housing market in most provinces,” said Klump. “The national average price is forecast to stabilize in 2012, although at a slightly higher level than previously expected.”

Home Sales Stable During Summer Months

Vancouver, BC – September 14, 2011.

The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) residential unit sales in the province rose 16.4 per cent to 6,504 units in August compared to the same month last year. The average MLS® residential price climbed 10.7 per cent to $539,953 last month compared to August 2010. “BC home sales edged up one per cent in August compared to July on a seasonally adjusted basis,” said Cameron Muir, BCREA Chief Economist. “Low mortgage interest rates continued to underpin housing demand in the province last month.” “Total active listings in the province remained elevated in August,” added Muir. “Most regional markets exhibited buyer’s market conditions, meaning little upward pressure on home prices.” Year-to-date, BC residential sales dollar volume increased 17.7 per cent to $31.7 billion, compared to the same period last year. Residential unit sales increased 2.6 per cent to 55,132 units, while the average MLS® residential price rose 14.7 per cent to $574,962 over the same period.

Real Estate Market Normalization for VIREB area

NANAIMO, BC – Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) sales summary data released by the Vancouver Island Real Estate Board (VIREB) for February 2011, shows a 3% decline in unit sales compared to February 2010 but a 36% increase over last month.
Likewise the average price of a single family home sold in February 2011 through the VIREB MLS® system was $338,882 down 1% from the $342,047 posted in February 2010, but up 5.4% from Januarys’ $321,489 Jim Stewart, president of VIREB says; “We are seeing the market returning to normal conditions with sales and listings trending toward balanced conditions. Homes that are properly priced are seeing quite a bit of action and selling in a reasonable length of time. Relying on the advice of a REALTOR® is very important to be properly informed on how the market conditions might affect an individual situation,” he adds.
There were 806 single family homes listed in February, bringing the active single family homes available through the VIREB MLS® system to 2,388 up almost 12% from this time last year. For the 12-month period from the end of February 2010 to February 2011, average sale prices across VIREB’s six zones saw: Campbell River drop 9 % (to $257,727), the Comox Valley slipped 1% (to $336,411), Nanaimo was down 2% (to $363,317), Parksville/Qualicum was up 3% (to $401,132), Port Alberni jumped 13% (to $218,746) and the Cowichan Valley was down 6% (to $337,291).
Guy Bezeau, VIREB’s President – elect says that, “Although the consumer is getting used to these historically low interest rates, we are being told it is not a matter of if we will see them begin to rise but when. With the amount of inventory available on the market now is a great time to invest on Vancouver Island,” he adds.

Cliff Moberg, VIREB’s Past President says, “We are seeing a vast improvement in the market as we move out of the holiday season. We have to remember however when looking at the sales numbers on a monthly basis, that a small market such as Port Alberni which only had 12 reported sales in February, one higher priced sale can skew the numbers considerably as we are seeing this month with a 13% increase in the average price.

Resale housing market shows further improvement in January

OTTAWA – February 15th, 2011 National resale housing activity climbed further in January 2011, according to statistics released today by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA).

Seasonally adjusted national home sales activity rose 4.5 per cent in January 2011 compared to the previous month, reaching the highest level since April 2010. Led by Vancouver and Toronto, seasonally adjusted sales activity posted monthly gains in more than half of all local Canadian markets in January. National sales activity has improved steadily since last summer, and now stands almost 25 per cent above the low point reached in July 2010.

We anticipated the recent announcement of tighter mortgage regulations, which will come into effect this March, would pull forward sales activity into the first quarter of 2011, particularly in some of Canada’s more expensive housing markets,” said Gregory Klump, CREA’s Chief Economist. “The sharp rise in sales activity in Toronto following the announcement provides early evidence confirming this,” said Klump.

It will take some time before the longer term impact of the latest mortgage regulations on the housing market can be known,” said Georges Pahud, CREA’s President. “For that reason, further action shouldn’t be taken until the impact can be measured. In the meantime, if last year can be used as any guide, sales activity may heat up further as we get closer to the date on which tighter mortgage regulations come into effect, especially in some of Canada’s pricier markets. That said, local housing market trends often diverge from national trends, so buyers and sellers should consult their local REALTOR® to understand how the market is shaping up where they live.”

Actual (not seasonally adjusted) national sales activity via the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) Systems of Canadian real estate Boards came in 6.6 per cent below levels in January 2010. This was the smallest year-over-year decline since May 2010.

Actual (not seasonally adjusted) new listings on Canadian MLS® Systems normally post their biggest month-over-month increase in January. January 2011 was no exception, marking the first time since 2007 that new listings more than doubled in January compared to the previous month. As a result, seasonally adjusted new listings rose 3.9 per cent from December levels, the largest monthly gain since March 2010.

Sales activity has been on the rise and prices have been stable since last autumn, so CREA had been expecting potential sellers who shied away from the market last summer to begin listing their properties in early 2011. Because sales activity and new supply rose in tandem in January, the national resale housing market remained balanced. The national sales-to-new listings ratio, a measure of market balance, stood at 55.7 per cent in January 2011, which is little changed from the previous two months. Just over half of local markets in Canada were in balanced market territory in January.

The number of months of inventory represents the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity, and is another measure of the balance between housing supply and demand. The seasonally adjusted number of months of inventory stood at 5.5 months at the end of January on a national basis. This is the lowest level since last March.

About two-thirds of local markets recorded year-over-year gains in average price in January 2011. The national average price for homes sold in January 2011 was $343,675. While this is little changed compared to the previous three months, it represents an increase of 4.5 per cent compared to January 2010.

Much of the year-over-year gain in January 2011 resulted from a jump in the number of multi-million dollar home sales in  a couple of areas in Greater Vancouver, the effects of which were amplified at the local, provincial, and national levels by the fact that actual monthly volumes for sales activity are low in January compared to other months.